What You Need to Know From the CMHC 2025 Housing Market Outlook
The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) has just dropped their highly anticipated 2025 Housing
Market Outlook, and if you’re a homeowner, future buyer, or just like to keep your finger on the real estate pulse, there’s a lot to unpack.
Here’s the short version:
The Big Picture (Canada-Wide)
- Mortgage rates are expected to decline in 2025, giving some long-awaited relief to buyers.
- Home sales and prices are heading back up, though we’re not expecting the wild ride of 2021.
- Rental markets are softening slightly with more supply coming online.
- Condo construction is slowing, while purpose-built rental and ground-oriented housing hold strong.
- CMHC is cautiously optimistic, but they’re also tracking risks like U.S. trade tensions and lower immigration.
What About British Columbia?
If you’re in BC, especially Greater Vancouver or Vancouver Island, here’s what matters most:
- Prices are forecast to hit new highs by the end of 2025.
- Sales are rebounding, thanks to lower mortgage rates and some recent financing policy changes.
- Tighter inventory will drive demand in townhomes and entry-level properties.
- Rental markets are finally seeing some relief, with rising vacancy rates and record rental construction underway.
Why It Matters
This isn’t just “market noise.” For buyers, sellers, renters and industry pros, these trends point to a more balanced housing environment in the next 12–18 months. That means better planning opportunities, less panic-buying, and a slightly calmer market for everyone involved.
If you’re making moves in the real estate world, or just want to understand what the data says about where we’re headed, this report is worth a closer look.
➡ Download the full 3-page PDF summary here.
Need help making sense of how this impacts your mortgage, buying power, or investment strategy?
Ask Marci About Mortgages. I’m always happy to walk you through it.
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